On Clinton and Obama

I was listening to an NPR program on the current state of the Democratic race last night, and it occurred to me that if the Democratic party wanted to end the race, they could do so, by putting pressure on all 268 of those uncommitted superdelegates to declare their votes. And as the superdelegates are the leadership of the Democratic party, they have more invested in the Democrats doing what is best for the party in the fall than anyone else.

My initial instinct was, come on, declare already so this thing will be over. But that is born out of my own anxiety, anxiety I see reflected in a lot of the commentary and news out there.

Upon further reflection, I concluded that the decision to prolong the race may in fact be very strategic. Who is talking about McCain right now? No one. He’s growing older and more irrelevant with each passing day. On the other hand, whoever comes out the winner (and mathematically almost certain to be Obama) is getting daily press and attention. And that keeps the focus solidly where the Democrats want it: On them, and on the changes they want to see happen.

Incidentally, my unstatistical sample of 2 down in Arizona (one registered Republican, one registered independent) is that McCain is “old” and unpopular, and either Democrat is looking pretty good in comparison.

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~ by realsupergirl on May 8, 2008.

5 Responses to “On Clinton and Obama”

  1. mccain sure as hell isn’t that popular among dems in arizona, but i know 2 registered AZ dems that plan to vote for mccain if they have to choose between him and obama. i don’t even know what to make of it. mccain who was knee deep in the keating 5/s and l scandal. who called his wife a cunt to her face in public. mccain who is knocking on heaven’s door. mccain who seems loved by the national media, but who is despised by arizona media folks. i mean, even now i have my doubts about obama, but he looks a helluva lot better than that to me.

    so, just to skew your unstatistical sample. blah. they want clinton or else they vote republican. which is odd, since i’ve been mostly worried about the folks who are saying they won’t vote if they don’t get to vote for the big O.
    sdinco, once was sdinaz

  2. Elisabeth Hasselback just said the same thing on The View- she called it a “filibuster”- and she thought it was a actually a pretty good strategy, which coming from her means something.

  3. Which might imply that it will be a wash – there will be conservative Dems who vote for McCain rather than Obama, but also socially liberal Republicans who vote for Obama rather than vote for McCain.

    I think in general though, most of the people who want to see a Democrat in office will vote for Clinton or Obama.

    I also think Obama has the potential to turn out huge percentages of African-Americans who don’t usually vote, whereas Clinton’s base votes pretty consistently, sometimes Dem and sometimes Rep.

    I think anytime you have a candidate who isn’t popular in his own state, you have to be nervous – and that’s what the Republicans are facing with McCain.

  4. Who is Elizabeth Hasselback?

  5. She’s the extremely conservative co-host of The View. The one that Rosie O’Donnell kept fighting with on-air last year. 🙂 Her opinion doesn’t mean much as far as analysts go, but as far as an opinionated TV personality goes, it’s significant. 🙂

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